Welcome to the blog (August 2026)
This is the new home for my blog posts at qpoch.com, covering my work and notes on AI research — perception, planning, sim2real, novel view synthesis, and the occasional thought experiment in fundamental AI.
The 95% confidence interval that was right 0% of the time (August 2026)
Last week I ran a nominal 95% confidence interval a hundred times against a ground truth I could compute exactly, to the sixth decimal place. It contained the truth in zero of the hundred runs. Not 80%, not 50%. Zero. And it came from bo...
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